SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stranraer |
50.28% ( 0.02) | 23.77% ( -0) | 25.94% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% ( 0) | 44.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% ( 0.01) | 67.08% ( -0.01) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% ( 0.01) | 17.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.38% ( 0.02) | 48.61% ( -0.02) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.01% ( -0.01) | 30.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( -0.01) | 67.29% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stranraer |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 50.28% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 25.94% |
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