SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Dumbarton |
45.44% ( 0.14) | 24.43% ( -0.03) | 30.13% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.67% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.12% ( 0.07) | 44.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.76% ( 0.07) | 67.23% ( -0.07) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( 0.09) | 19.87% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.02% ( 0.14) | 51.98% ( -0.15) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( -0.04) | 28.03% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% ( -0.05) | 63.68% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.44% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.13% |
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