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Scottish League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Borough Briggs
FA

Elgin
0 - 1
Forfar


Dolzanski (45'), Nicolson (75'), Draper (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armour (3')
Munro (30'), Nditi (34'), McCallum (89'), Thomson (90+5')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Elgin City and Forfar Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elgin 1-0 Albion Rovers
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 1-3 East Fife
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Elgin CityDrawForfar Athletic
42.91% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 25.58%31.51%
Both teams to score 54.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.68% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)49.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)71.37% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.37% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)56.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Elgin City 42.91%
    Forfar Athletic 31.51%
    Draw 25.57%
Elgin CityDrawForfar Athletic
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 5.05%
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.51%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Elgin 1-0 Albion Rovers
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 2-3 Elgin
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 5-1 Annan
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Peterhead 0-4 Elgin
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 3-3 Elgin
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 1-3 East Fife
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 0-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 1-4 Stirling
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 0-2 Forfar
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Annan 2-1 Forfar
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 1-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two


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