SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
37.19% ( -0.21) | 25.25% ( -0.07) | 37.56% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( 0.33) | 46.8% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.93% ( 0.3) | 69.06% ( -0.31) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.31% ( 0.03) | 24.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.77% ( 0.05) | 59.22% ( -0.05) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( 0.3) | 24.49% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.06% ( 0.42) | 58.94% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.19% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.56% |
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