SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dumbarton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | East Fife |
44.64% ( 0.02) | 24.78% ( -0.01) | 30.58% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.72% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.76% ( 0.04) | 46.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( 0.03) | 68.52% ( -0.04) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( 0.02) | 20.78% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.57% ( 0.04) | 53.42% ( -0.05) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( 0) | 28.4% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.84% ( 0.01) | 64.15% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.64% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.58% |
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