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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest East Fife win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Elgin City |
36.78% ( -0.24) | 24.94% ( 0.09) | 38.28% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.62% ( -0.43) | 45.38% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.28% ( -0.41) | 67.71% ( 0.41) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( -0.33) | 24.26% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.38% ( -0.47) | 58.62% ( 0.46) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( -0.12) | 23.46% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.52% ( -0.17) | 57.47% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.28% |
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