Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.
