Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.