SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Clyde had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Clyde win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Clyde |
42.25% ( -0.22) | 24.13% ( 0) | 33.62% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.28% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.87% ( 0.06) | 42.12% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.47% ( 0.06) | 64.53% ( -0.06) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( -0.08) | 20.13% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.59% ( -0.12) | 52.4% ( 0.12) |
| Clyde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( 0.16) | 24.51% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.02% ( 0.22) | 58.97% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Clyde |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.62% |
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