Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Spartans win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.

Result
Spartans	Draw	Elgin City
35.89% ( -0.45)	26.28% ( 0.06)	37.83% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 53.27% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.62% (

-0.26)

51.39% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.8% (

-0.22)

73.2% (

0.23)

Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43% (

-0.39)

27.57% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.91% (

-0.51)

63.1% (

0.51)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

0.11)

26.45% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.37% (

0.14)

61.63% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Spartans 35.89%

Elgin City 37.83%

Draw 26.27%

Spartans	Draw	Elgin City
1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.89%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.83%