SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Spartans win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Elgin City |
35.89% ( -0.45) | 26.28% ( 0.06) | 37.83% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 53.27% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.62% ( -0.26) | 51.39% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% ( -0.22) | 73.2% ( 0.23) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.39) | 27.57% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.91% ( -0.51) | 63.1% ( 0.51) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( 0.11) | 26.45% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.37% ( 0.14) | 61.63% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.83% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
