SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Stranraer |
42.67% ( -3.12) | 24.5% ( 0.06) | 32.83% ( 3.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.7% ( 1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% ( 1.04) | 44.07% ( -1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.54% ( 1) | 66.46% ( -1) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( -0.95) | 20.76% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( -1.51) | 53.4% ( 1.51) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( 2.48) | 25.91% ( -2.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% ( 3.23) | 60.9% ( -3.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Stranraer |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.65)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.72)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.49)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.67% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.49) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.44)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.34)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.22)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.83% |
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