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Scottish League Two | Gameweek 16
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Station Park
AR

Forfar
1 - 0
Albion Rovers

Armour (33')
Whyte (21'), Aitken (83'), Armour (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Malcolm (32'), Graham (62'), Mcgrath (84')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Forfar Athletic and Albion Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dumbarton 2-2 Forfar
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 1-0 Stranraer
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion Rovers win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albion Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Forfar AthleticDrawAlbion Rovers
36.46% (0.772 0.77) 26.12% (-0.104 -0.1) 37.42% (-0.663 -0.66)
Both teams to score 53.82% (0.399 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.3% (0.488 0.49)50.7% (-0.483 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4% (0.432 0.43)72.6% (-0.425 -0.42)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09% (0.687 0.69)26.91% (-0.682 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (0.891 0.89)62.24% (-0.886 -0.89)
Albion Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-0.143 -0.14)26.36% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (-0.193 -0.19)61.51% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Forfar Athletic 36.46%
    Albion Rovers 37.42%
    Draw 26.12%
Forfar AthleticDrawAlbion Rovers
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 36.46%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.42%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-2 Forfar
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 1-4 Annan
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 1-0 Forfar
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 0-1 Forfar
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 1-3 East Fife
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 1-0 Stranraer
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: East Fife 2-3 Albion Rovers
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 1-1 Stirling
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 2-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-1 Albion Rovers
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 1-0 Albion Rovers
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two


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