SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for an Albion Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elgin City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Albion Rovers |
52.64% ( 0.17) | 23.7% ( -0.01) | 23.66% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.53% ( -0.11) | 46.47% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.25% ( -0.11) | 68.75% ( 0.1) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.37% ( 0.02) | 17.62% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.78% ( 0.04) | 48.21% ( -0.05) |
| Albion Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% ( -0.21) | 33.82% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.51% ( -0.22) | 70.49% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Albion Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 52.63% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.69% | 0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.66% |
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