Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.
