Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
