Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.
