Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
