Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 50.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Stranraer win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.