Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stranraer in this match.