Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.09) 
