SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
28.52% ( 0.07) | 27.1% ( 0.01) | 44.38% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.33% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.42% ( -0.02) | 56.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.44% ( -0.01) | 77.56% ( 0.01) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( 0.05) | 35.25% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28% ( 0.05) | 72% ( -0.05) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( -0.05) | 25.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.85% ( -0.07) | 60.15% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 28.52% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 44.38% |
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