Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
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