SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
42.3% ( 0.08) | 26.85% ( 0.04) | 30.85% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% ( -0.18) | 54.73% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.96% ( -0.15) | 76.05% ( 0.16) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( -0.04) | 25.58% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.55% ( -0.06) | 60.45% ( 0.06) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.47% ( -0.17) | 32.53% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.94% ( -0.2) | 69.06% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.3% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.85% |
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