SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
35.28% ( 0.53) | 26.62% ( -0.08) | 38.11% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.15% ( 0.38) | 52.84% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.54% ( 0.32) | 74.46% ( -0.32) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% ( 0.51) | 28.65% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.54% ( 0.63) | 64.46% ( -0.63) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( -0.08) | 26.98% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.68% ( -0.1) | 62.32% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.28% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.1% |
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