SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | East Fife |
39.97% ( 0.06) | 25.49% ( 0.03) | 34.53% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( -0.15) | 48.15% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% ( -0.13) | 70.31% ( 0.13) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( -0.03) | 23.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42% ( -0.05) | 58% ( 0.05) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( -0.13) | 26.84% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% ( -0.17) | 62.14% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.53% |
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