Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.
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