SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
29.29% ( -0.12) | 27.02% ( -0.36) | 43.69% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.04% ( 1.25) | 55.96% ( -1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.94% ( 1.01) | 77.06% ( -1.01) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% ( 0.57) | 34.32% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.97% ( 0.61) | 71.03% ( -0.61) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% ( 0.82) | 25.43% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.75% ( 1.11) | 60.25% ( -1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.29% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | PeterheadPeterhead | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 28 |
| 3 | Dumbarton | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Spartans | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 20 |
| 5 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | StranraerStranraer | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
| 7 | East FifeEast Fife | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
| 9 | Elgin CityElgin | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
| 10 | Clyde | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 7 |
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