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Scottish League Two | Gameweek 10
Nov 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ochilview Park
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Stenhousemuir
2 - 0
Peterhead

Anderson (23'), Brown (28')
Aitken (67'), Bilham (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Goldie (30'), Brown (37'), Ross (90+1'), McAllister (90+2')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Peterhead.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 3-2 Spartans
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Peterhead 3-2 Stranraer
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawPeterhead
45.39% (0.573 0.57) 23.93% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09) 30.68% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 59.73% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7% (0.168 0.17)42.3% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29% (0.16699999999999 0.17)64.7% (-0.166 -0.17)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14% (0.30499999999999 0.3)18.85% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.69% (0.507 0.51)50.31% (-0.506 -0.51)
Peterhead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.227 -0.23)26.38% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (-0.302 -0.3)61.54% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 45.39%
    Peterhead 30.68%
    Draw 23.92%
StenhousemuirDrawPeterhead
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 45.39%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-1 @ 6.63% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.68%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 3-2 Spartans
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 1-3 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 1-1 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-2 Clyde
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 0-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 5-0 Stranraer
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Peterhead 3-2 Stranraer
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Peterhead 2-0 East Fife
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Peterhead 0-2 Dundee Utd
Saturday, October 14 at 5.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Forfar 1-3 Peterhead
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Peterhead 6-0 Elgin
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 0-1 Peterhead
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Two


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