SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Stranraer |
48.86% ( 0.34) | 24.95% ( -0.11) | 26.18% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.07% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( 0.28) | 49.6% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( 0.25) | 71.62% ( -0.25) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.67% ( 0.26) | 20.32% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.29% ( 0.41) | 52.71% ( -0.41) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( -0.04) | 33.39% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% ( -0.04) | 70.01% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 26.18% |
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