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Scottish League Two | Gameweek 18
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stair Park
D

Stranraer
5 - 0
Dumbarton

Blair (3' og.), Grant (30'), Forrest (34'), Armour (45+2'), Lang (88')
Ross (22')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Newbury (6'), Crighton (14')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stranraer and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stranraer 0-0 Forfar
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-0 Peterhead
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
StranraerDrawDumbarton
33.87% (-1.091 -1.09) 25.86% (0.362 0.36) 40.26% (0.72 0.72)
Both teams to score 54.35% (-1.455 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12% (-1.781 -1.78)49.87% (1.771 1.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (-1.613 -1.61)71.87% (1.603 1.6)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-1.521 -1.52)28.07% (1.512 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (-1.969 -1.97)63.73% (1.96 1.96)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.425 -0.42)24.44% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (-0.599 -0.6)58.88% (0.59 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Stranraer 33.87%
    Dumbarton 40.26%
    Draw 25.86%
StranraerDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.257 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 33.87%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.481 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.567 0.57)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.321 0.32)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.2% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 40.26%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Stranraer 0-0 Forfar
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-1 Stranraer
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 1-2 Spartans
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 Clyde
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 0-0 Stranraer
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 0-1 East Fife
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-0 Peterhead
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-1 Stranraer
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Clyde 2-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 0-0 Spartans
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-2 Forfar
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two


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