Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stranraer | Draw | Dumbarton |
33.87% ( -1.09) | 25.86% ( 0.36) | 40.26% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 54.35% ( -1.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.12% ( -1.78) | 49.87% ( 1.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.13% ( -1.61) | 71.87% ( 1.6) |
Stranraer Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.93% ( -1.52) | 28.07% ( 1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.27% ( -1.97) | 63.73% ( 1.96) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.55% ( -0.42) | 24.44% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.11% ( -0.6) | 58.88% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Stranraer | Draw | Dumbarton |
1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.87% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.26% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: