Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
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