SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Peterhead |
44.52% ( -0.07) | 24.52% ( 0.02) | 30.96% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.11% ( -0.07) | 44.89% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.76% ( -0.07) | 67.24% ( 0.07) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( -0.06) | 20.28% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.37% ( -0.1) | 52.63% ( 0.1) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% ( -0) | 27.48% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.02% ( -0.01) | 62.98% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.52% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.96% |
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