SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | East Fife |
38.53% ( 0.23) | 25.48% ( -0.02) | 35.99% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.1% ( 0.09) | 47.9% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% ( 0.08) | 70.08% ( -0.08) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( 0.17) | 24.47% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% ( 0.23) | 58.91% ( -0.23) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( -0.07) | 25.87% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% ( -0.1) | 60.85% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.99% |
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