SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
27.85% ( -0.38) | 25.04% ( -0.06) | 47.1% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.15% ( 0.05) | 48.85% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( 0.04) | 70.94% ( -0.04) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% ( -0.26) | 31.68% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.9% ( -0.3) | 68.1% ( 0.3) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( 0.21) | 20.77% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.59% ( 0.33) | 53.41% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.85% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.1% |
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