SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Spartans |
31.73% ( -0.02) | 25.32% ( 0.01) | 42.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.89% ( -0.05) | 48.1% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.73% ( -0.05) | 70.27% ( 0.04) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% ( -0.03) | 28.57% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% ( -0.04) | 64.37% ( 0.04) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( -0.02) | 22.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( -0.03) | 55.82% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.73% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.95% |
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