SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | East Fife |
52.23% ( 0.97) | 22.82% ( -0.33) | 24.94% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 58.93% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.7% ( 0.94) | 41.3% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.3% ( 0.95) | 63.7% ( -0.95) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( 0.69) | 15.88% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.9% ( 1.25) | 45.1% ( -1.25) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% ( 0) | 29.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.94% ( 0) | 66.06% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | East Fife |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.57% Total : 52.23% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.1% Total : 24.94% |
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