SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 15.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a East Fife win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | East Fife |
65.02% ( -0.19) | 19.04% ( 0.03) | 15.93% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.39% ( 0.18) | 36.61% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.24% ( 0.2) | 58.76% ( -0.19) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.42% ( 0) | 10.58% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.65% ( 0) | 34.35% ( -0) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% ( 0.31) | 36.02% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.2% ( 0.32) | 72.8% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | East Fife |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.35% 3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 4.13% 4-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.85% 5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 65.02% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.04% | 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 15.93% |
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