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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Elgin City |
27.19% ( -0.03) | 24.22% ( 0) | 48.59% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( -0.03) | 45.7% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( -0.03) | 68.03% ( 0.03) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( -0.04) | 30.54% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.24% ( -0.04) | 66.76% ( 0.05) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( 0) | 18.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.61% ( 0) | 50.38% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.19% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.59% |
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