SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | East Fife |
74.55% ( 0.44) | 16.55% ( -0.51) | 8.9% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.15% ( 1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.6% ( 2.47) | 43.4% ( -2.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.2% ( 2.38) | 65.8% ( -2.39) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.96% ( 0.76) | 10.04% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.89% ( 1.73) | 33.11% ( -1.73) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.96% ( 1.75) | 52.04% ( -1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.97% ( 1.11) | 86.03% ( -1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | East Fife |
| 2-0 @ 13.8% ( -0.58) 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.93)3-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.29)5-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.2)5-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.16)6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.95% Total : 74.53% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.59)2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.54% Total : 16.55% | 0-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 8.9% |
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