SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | East Fife | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 5 | Stirling Albion | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Annan Athletic | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 | Elgin City | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Stranraer | 6 | -3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Elgin City |
39.13% ( 0.37) | 25.52% ( -0.07) | 35.36% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.87% ( 0.3) | 48.13% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.71% ( 0.27) | 70.29% ( -0.27) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( 0.33) | 24.26% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.39% ( 0.46) | 58.61% ( -0.46) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( -0.03) | 26.34% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.52% ( -0.04) | 61.48% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.13% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 35.36% |
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