SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 49.86%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
49.86% ( -1.32) | 24.69% ( 0.22) | 25.44% ( 1.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.92% ( 0.01) | 49.08% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% ( 0.01) | 71.15% ( -0.02) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( -0.53) | 19.7% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.28% ( -0.86) | 51.71% ( 0.86) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% ( 0.94) | 33.71% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.63% ( 1.01) | 70.37% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 49.86% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.44% |
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