SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
45.83% ( -0.1) | 24.79% ( 0.02) | 29.37% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% ( -0.05) | 46.86% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( -0.04) | 69.12% ( 0.05) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( -0.06) | 20.51% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.99% ( -0.1) | 53% ( 0.1) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( 0.03) | 29.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% ( 0.04) | 65.57% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 29.37% |
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