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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
SJ

Aberdeen
2 - 0
St Johnstone

Lopes (74', 84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carey (21'), MacPherson (62'), Mitchell (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 Ross County
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Dundee Utd
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 1-0 St Johnstone

In a match between two sides who look to be out of sorts, we expect a tight affair that could be decided by a narrow margin at Pittodrie. Aberdeen will do just enough to prevail in the end, giving their supporters something to shout about following a dreadful run of results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawSt Johnstone
59.7% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 22.07% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 18.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.65% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.71% (0.033000000000001 0.03)46.29% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)68.58% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.11% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)43.66% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.84% (0.060000000000002 0.06)39.16% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13% (0.055 0.05)75.87% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 59.69%
    St Johnstone 18.24%
    Draw 22.06%
AberdeenDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.24%
4-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 59.69%
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.06%
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 18.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 Ross County
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Aberdeen
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 3-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 Rangers
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-1 Celtic
Saturday, December 17 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Dundee Utd
Saturday, November 12 at 6pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Dundee Utd
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-3 Hearts
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 4-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 St Johnstone
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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