SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
59.7% ( -0.04) | 22.07% ( 0.01) | 18.24% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.65% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.71% ( 0.03) | 46.29% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.42% ( 0.03) | 68.58% ( -0.03) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.89% ( -0) | 15.11% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.33% ( -0) | 43.66% ( 0.01) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( 0.06) | 39.16% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.13% ( 0.05) | 75.87% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.24% 4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.69% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.06% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.24% |
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