Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.