SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 24 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 4 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 4 | 10 | 10 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 4 | 9 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 2-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Celtic win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Real Madrid |
31.07% ( -0.1) | 20.41% ( 0.01) | 48.52% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 73.34% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.3% ( -0.12) | 24.7% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.47% ( -0.16) | 44.53% ( 0.16) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.52% ( -0.11) | 17.48% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.03% ( -0.19) | 47.97% ( 0.2) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.87% ( -0.02) | 11.12% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.44% ( -0.04) | 35.56% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.81% Total : 31.07% | 1-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( -0)3-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.41% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.29% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.44% 2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 4.33% Total : 48.52% |
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