Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2022 at 8pm UK

Celtic Park

Celtic
0 - 3
Real Madrid

Maeda (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Junior (56'), Modric (60'), Hazard (77')
Mendy (10')

Carlo Ancelotti plays down Karim Benzema injury concerns

Real Madrid survive Celtic scares to run out comfortable winners

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

Last Six:

Last Game: Celtic 4-0 Rangers
Saturday, September 3 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Celtic	6	24	18
2	Rangers	6	7	13
3	Aberdeen	6	6	10

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Real Betis
Saturday, September 3 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	4	7	12
2	Barcelona	4	10	10
3	Villarreal	4	9	10

We said: Celtic 1-2 Real Madrid

This has all of the makings of a brilliant match, and we are expecting an entertaining contest on Tuesday night. It would certainly not be a surprise to see a draw or a Celtic win in Glasgow, but we just have a feeling that Real Madrid's quality and experience will allow them to secure all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 2-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Celtic win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celtic	Draw	Real Madrid
31.07% ( -0.1)	20.41% ( 0.01)	48.52% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 73.34% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.3% (

-0.12)

24.7% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.47% (

-0.16)

44.53% (

0.16)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.52% (

-0.11)

17.48% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.03% (

-0.19)

47.97% (

0.2)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.87% (

-0.02)

11.12% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.44% (

-0.04)

35.56% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Celtic 31.07%

Real Madrid 48.52%

Draw 20.41%

Celtic	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.81% Total : 31.07%	1-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.41%	1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.29% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.44% 2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 4.33% Total : 48.52%