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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
25.41% ( 0) | 22.78% ( -0.01) | 51.81% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.59% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% ( 0.06) | 40.65% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( 0.06) | 63.04% ( -0.06) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.03) | 29.24% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( 0.04) | 65.19% ( -0.05) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.21% ( 0.02) | 15.79% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.06% ( 0.04) | 44.94% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.49% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.29% Total : 25.41% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.75% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.23% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 51.81% |
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