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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
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Dundee
2 - 3
Motherwell

McGhee (36'), McCowan (70')
Bakayoko (74'), Mellon (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gent (79'), Bair (81'), Ebiye (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Dundee
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 2-1 Motherwell

There is not much to split these two teams in the league table, and that in itself should lead to a close match as neither will want to slip up. However, it could be the end of the line as far as Motherwell's top-half hopes are concerned, as Dundee should have enough quality to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
DundeeDrawMotherwell
46.81% (-0.166 -0.17) 23.66% (-0.147 -0.15) 29.54% (0.313 0.31)
Both teams to score 60% (0.729 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (0.868 0.87)41.65% (-0.863 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (0.869 0.87)64.05% (-0.867 -0.87)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (0.27500000000001 0.28)18.03% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (0.466 0.47)48.91% (-0.463 -0.46)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (0.64700000000001 0.65)26.81% (-0.644 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (0.843 0.84)62.1% (-0.84 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 46.81%
    Motherwell 29.54%
    Draw 23.65%
DundeeDrawMotherwell
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 46.81%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Dundee
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-0 Aberdeen
Wednesday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 7-1 Dundee
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 2-1 Dundee
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 2-0 Ross County
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-3 Motherwell
Wednesday, February 28 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-3 Celtic
Sunday, February 25 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Motherwell
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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