SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Hibernian |
31.62% ( -0.02) | 23.91% ( 0.02) | 44.47% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.28% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.2% ( -0.08) | 41.8% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.8% ( -0.09) | 64.2% ( 0.09) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( -0.05) | 25.55% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.59% ( -0.07) | 60.41% ( 0.08) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( -0.03) | 19.04% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.39% ( -0.05) | 50.62% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Hibernian |
| 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.62% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 44.47% |
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