SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Hibernian |
48.01% ( 1.21) | 24.41% ( -0.05) | 27.58% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.71% ( -0.5) | 46.28% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.43% ( -0.48) | 68.57% ( 0.48) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( 0.3) | 19.36% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.86% ( 0.49) | 51.14% ( -0.49) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( -1.1) | 30.55% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% ( -1.33) | 66.78% ( 1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 48.01% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.58% |
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