SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Motherwell | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Dundee United | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Kilmarnock | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
37.25% ( 0.32) | 25.02% ( -0.16) | 37.72% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.68% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( 0.73) | 45.76% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( 0.69) | 68.08% ( -0.69) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( 0.51) | 24.18% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( 0.72) | 58.5% ( -0.72) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( 0.25) | 23.92% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( 0.35) | 58.14% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.25% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.72% |
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