Dundee United will naturally have one eye on the second leg with AZ, something which can only boost Livingston's chances in this contest. Nevertheless, we still feel that the home side will do enough to earn at least a share of the spoils from this game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Livingston in this match.
0.76) 
-0.02) 
