SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Dundee United | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Livingston | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Ross County | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Livingston in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Livingston |
27.96% ( 0.76) | 27.64% ( -0.02) | 44.4% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 46.49% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.22% ( 0.44) | 58.78% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.7% ( 0.34) | 79.3% ( -0.33) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.11% ( 0.87) | 36.89% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.33% ( 0.86) | 73.67% ( -0.86) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( -0.18) | 26.35% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.51% ( -0.24) | 61.49% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.81% Total : 27.96% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.23)1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.4% |
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